1. Deild1. Deild
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 14:58
Hoyvík

Hoyvík

Home
L
12
Full time
ÍF II

ÍF II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
ÍF II(47%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: ÍF II
Win probability
Hoyvík
28%
Draw
25%
ÍF II
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hoyvík
34
ÍF II
73
Defence
Hoyvík
27
ÍF II
66
Momentum
Hoyvík
0
ÍF II
100
Danger (xG)
Hoyvík
0.90
ÍF II
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.47 xG for Hoyvík and 1.57 xG for ÍF II — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.10), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.05 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Hoyvík's Attack Score (34) vs ÍF II's Defensive Stability (66) and ÍF II's attack (73) vs Hoyvík's defence (27) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Hoyvík)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (ÍF II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Hoyvík)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (ÍF II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HoyvíkHoyvík
LL
ÍF IIÍF II
WW

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Hoyvík28%
Draw25%
ÍF II47%

ÍF II leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

ÍF II Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Hoyvík take on ÍF II in 1. Deild.

Key factors

: ⚠️ Upset Risk Hoyvík have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While ÍF II carry the stronger underlying metrics, Hoyvík's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

ÍF II hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for ÍF II.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours ÍF II, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Hoyvík score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Hoyvík are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.10 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Head to head

Hoyvík 0Draws 01 ÍF II
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Hoyvík
L12
ÍF II

Recent form

Hoyvík

Hoyvík

L
vs ÍF II
27 Jun 2026
12
L
vs TB
14 May 2026
14
ÍF II

ÍF II

W
@ Hoyvík
27 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Suduroy
16 May 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hoyvík vs ÍF II?

GoalVio's model predicts ÍF II to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hoyvík vs ÍF II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Hoyvík vs ÍF II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hoyvík vs ÍF II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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