Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Hoyvík are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while ÍF II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
6.7%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00