Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
B36 II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoyvík 2-4 B36 II
Original prediction
B36 II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 31.8% | 36.2% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.6% | 18.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 44.6% | 45.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–36%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
B36 II
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
B36 II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HoyvíkWLLLW
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
B36 IILLLLW
GF 14 · GA 22 · avg 2.80/4.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HoyvíkB36 II
51.5Attack63.6
4.5Defence12.1
33.3Form34.8
32.4Power37.2
2.99xG3.30