Houtvennevs
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houtvenne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houtvenne 3-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Original prediction
Houtvenne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.3% | 43.9% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 23.0% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 33.1% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Houtvenne
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Houtvenne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20