Houtvennevs
Mandel United
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houtvenne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houtvenne 2-1 Mandel United
Original prediction
Houtvenne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.9% | 47.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 25.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.7% | 27.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Houtvenne
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Houtvenne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20