Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houtvenne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houtvenne 2-0 Knokke
Original prediction
Houtvenne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.4% | 50.7% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.1% | 24.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.5% | 24.9% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Houtvenne
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Houtvenne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HoutvenneLWLWW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
KnokkeWDLWL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HoutvenneKnokke
100.0Attack46.7
66.7Defence60.0
100.0Form46.7
88.7Power51.9
2.21xG1.01