Houtvennevs
Dessel Sport
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houtvenne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houtvenne 5-0 Dessel Sport
Original prediction
Houtvenne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.5% | 41.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 25.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.3% | 32.8% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Houtvenne
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Houtvenne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60