Houston Dynamovs
Sporting Kansas City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas City
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 58.9% | 52.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 22.3% | 25.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.8% | 22.4% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80