GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dynamo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

13.9%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston DynamoLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Seattle SoundersDWWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Houston DynamoSeattle Sounders
50.0Attack39.2
55.6Defence56.9
59.3Form47.1
56.2Power49.6
1.43xG0.94
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