Houston Dynamovs
San Diego
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Houston Dynamo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while San Diego are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
11.4%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80