Houston Dynamovs
Real Salt Lake
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/10/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.4% | 48.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.7% | 24.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.9% | 27.4% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40