Houston Dynamovs
Portland Timbers
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/15/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Houston Dynamo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
10.1%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80