GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/15/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dynamo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

10.1%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston DynamoLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Portland TimbersLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoPortland Timbers
50.0Attack61.1
55.6Defence38.9
59.3Form44.4
56.2Power48.4
2.04xG1.46
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