GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dynamo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Colorado Rapids are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston DynamoLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Colorado RapidsLDLWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoColorado Rapids
49.1Attack50.0
57.9Defence53.7
61.4Form40.7
57.6Power48.6
1.52xG1.13
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