Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo

Home
W
21
Full time
America de Cali

America de Cali

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

America de Cali33%
Houston Dynamo33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Houston Dynamo
Win probability
Houston Dynamo
33%
Draw
33%
America de Cali
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Houston Dynamo
73
America de Cali
34
Defence
Houston Dynamo
66
America de Cali
66
Momentum
Houston Dynamo
100
America de Cali
50
Danger (xG)
Houston Dynamo
1.80
America de Cali
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Houston Dynamo)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (America de Cali)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Houston Dynamo)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (America de Cali)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
WWLWD
America de CaliAmerica de Cali
LWL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Houston Dynamo33%
Draw33%
America de Cali33%

America de Cali leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Houston Dynamo head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while America de Cali arrive in mixed form (LW). Houston Dynamo have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for America de Cali over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Houston Dynamo (66/100) and America de Cali (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Houston Dynamo have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. America de Cali have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Houston Dynamo have generated 0.66 xG per game recently while conceding 0.85 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Houston Dynamo have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Houston Dynamo to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Houston Dynamo 3333%, Draw 3333%, America de Cali 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Houston Dynamo 1Draws 00 America de Cali
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
16 Jul 2026
Houston Dynamo
W21
America de Cali

Recent form

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo

W
vs America de Cali
16 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May 2026
10
L
@ Real Salt Lake
14 May 2026
03
W
@ Los Angeles FC
11 May 2026
41
D
@ Sporting Kansas City
19 Oct 2025
00
xG 0.7
America de Cali

America de Cali

L
@ Houston Dynamo
16 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Santos Laguna
10 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Santa Fe
13 May 2026
04

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs America de Cali?

GoalVio's model predicts Houston Dynamo to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs America de Cali?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo vs America de Cali?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Houston Dynamo vs America de Cali?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more