GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dynamo FC II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo FC II hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Houston Dynamo FC II holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo FC II

Probability

72.8%

Model confidence

11.1%

Houston Dynamo FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dynamo FC IIWLLLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
St. Louis City IILLLDW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Houston Dynamo FC IISt. Louis City II
75.0Attack51.5
68.3Defence50.0
70.0Form47.0
69.9Power50.2
2.62xG0.86
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