Houston Dynamo FC IIvs
Sporting KC II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%), 5-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dynamo FC II 2-3 Sporting KC II
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo FC II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.5% | 83.5% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.4% | 10.1% | -8.2 pts |
| Away | 6.34 | 14.2% | 6.3% | -7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–011%
- 3.5–09%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo FC II
Probability
83.5%
Model confidence
83.5%
Houston Dynamo FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60