GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Houston Dynamo FC II 0-2 Minnesota United II

Original prediction

Houston Dynamo FC II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6455.1%69.8%14.6 pts
Draw4.0322.4%16.9%-5.4 pts
Away4.0222.5%13.3%-9.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.3–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo FC II

Probability

69.8%

Model confidence

69.8%

Houston Dynamo FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dynamo FC IIDDLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United IIDDLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Houston Dynamo FC IIMinnesota United II
69.6Attack44.9
65.2Defence47.8
63.8Form42.0
65.3Power46.8
2.52xG0.83
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