Houston Dynamo FC IIvs
Austin II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dynamo FC II 0-2 Austin II
Original prediction
Austin II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.4% | 35.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 25.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.2% | 38.9% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Austin II
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60