Houston Dash Wvs
Washington Spirit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Houston Dash W 0-1 Washington Spirit W, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dash W 2-3 Washington Spirit W
Original prediction
Washington Spirit W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.80 | 23.7% | 24.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 27.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.8% | 48.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Projected Score
Houston Dash W 0–1 Washington Spirit W
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00