Houston Dash Wvs
Utah Royals W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/13/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dash W 0-1 Utah Royals W
Original prediction
Utah Royals W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.7% | 31.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 28.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.9% | 40.0% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Utah Royals W
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20