GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dash W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC W hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC W

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

14.8%

Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Seattle Reign FC WLDWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Houston Dash WSeattle Reign FC W
37.0Attack42.6
51.9Defence57.4
37.0Form50.0
44.1Power51.8
0.99xG1.15
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