GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Houston Dash W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego Wave W

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

15.7%

San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
San Diego Wave WWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Houston Dash WSan Diego Wave W
37.0Attack41.7
51.9Defence65.0
37.0Form55.0
44.1Power55.9
0.80xG1.14
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