GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dash W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Houston Dash W 1-2 Orlando Pride W

Original prediction

Houston Dash W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8131.8%36.1%4.4 pts
Draw3.4126.2%28.8%2.6 pts
Away2.1342.0%35.0%-7.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Houston Dash W

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Houston Dash W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Orlando Pride WLWLDW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Houston Dash WOrlando Pride W
42.0Attack44.4
51.9Defence46.9
37.0Form40.7
45.0Power45.5
1.43xG1.18
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