GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dash W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while North Carolina Courage W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

13.0%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
North Carolina Courage WDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Houston Dash WNorth Carolina Courage W
37.0Attack59.3
51.9Defence51.9
37.0Form55.6
44.1Power55.8
1.10xG1.62
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