GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/9/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dash W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kansas City W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and kansas City W hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring a draw with 13.9% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.2%

Model confidence

13.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kansas City WDWLDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Houston Dash WKansas City W
37.0Attack52.6
51.9Defence54.4
37.0Form52.6
44.1Power53.4
1.05xG1.43
View match centre →