GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dash W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Houston Dash W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dash W hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the NWSL Women, while Houston Dash W holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dash W

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

15.8%

Houston Dash W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WDLWDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Chicago Red Stars WDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Houston Dash WChicago Red Stars W
37.0Attack17.6
51.9Defence35.3
37.0Form23.5
44.1Power29.2
1.60xG0.65
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