Hougang Unitedvs
Home United
COMPLETEDSingapore · Premier League · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Home United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 2-4 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hougang United 2-2 Home United
Original prediction
Home United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17.43 | 5.3% | 15.8% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 8.16 | 11.2% | 16.6% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.09 | 83.5% | 67.6% | -15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 7.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Home United
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Home United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60