Horshamvs
Walton & Hersham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Horsham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Horsham 1-0 Walton & Hersham, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Horsham 1-0 Walton & Hersham
Original prediction
Horsham
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.3% | 51.4% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.4% | 26.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.3% | 22.5% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Projected Score
Horsham 1–0 Walton & Hersham
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Horsham
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Horsham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HorshamDWLLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Walton & HershamWWDLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HorshamWalton & Hersham
33.3Attack22.2
63.0Defence3.7
40.7Form7.4
47.8Power16.7
1.89xG0.55