Horshamvs
Farnham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Horsham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Horsham 1-2 Farnham Town
Original prediction
Horsham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.7% | 49.5% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 25.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.5% | 24.6% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Horsham
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Horsham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40