Horshamvs
Dagenham & Redbridge
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Horsham 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Horsham 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.2% | 35.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 29.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.6% | 35.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.34 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Horsham 0–0 Dagenham & Redbridge
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HorshamLWWDD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dagenham & RedbridgeWLWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HorshamDagenham & Redbridge
40.0Attack44.4
73.3Defence77.8
53.3Form83.3
57.6Power70.5
0.96xG0.99