GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Hornchurch · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Horsham are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AFC Hornchurch are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Hornchurch hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while AFC Hornchurch holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Hornchurch

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

AFC Hornchurch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HorshamLLDWD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC HornchurchW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
HorshamAFC Hornchurch
50.8Attack75.4
60.3Defence73.0
60.3Form79.4
59.2Power75.5
0.87xG1.74
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