Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolfhagen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Hornau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wolfhagen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolfhagen hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Wolfhagen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wolfhagen
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Wolfhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60