GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/11/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Hornau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HornauLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vfb MarburgLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HornauVfb Marburg
50.9Attack50.0
15.7Defence66.7
25.9Form66.7
32.7Power64.8
1.41xG2.76
View match centre →