GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/6/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hornau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Hornau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while TSV Steinbach II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hornau hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 21.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hornau holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hornau

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Hornau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HornauWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TSV Steinbach IILLLLW

GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HornauTSV Steinbach II
50.9Attack38.9
15.7Defence0.0
25.9Form16.7
32.7Power21.1
3.12xG1.80
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