GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/15/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hornau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hornau are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while SV Steinbach are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Steinbach hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hornau holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hornau

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Hornau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HornauDDLDL

GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SV SteinbachWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HornauSV Steinbach
50.9Attack45.1
15.7Defence32.4
25.9Form32.4
32.7Power39.0
2.25xG2.19
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