GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/13/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Hornau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HornauLWLWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Bayern AlzenauWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HornauBayern Alzenau
50.9Attack44.4
15.7Defence44.4
25.9Form22.2
32.7Power40.2
1.83xG2.48
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