Hoogstratenvs
Roeselare Daisel
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roeselare Daisel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoogstraten 1-1 Roeselare Daisel
Original prediction
Roeselare Daisel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 28.8% | 31.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 25.9% | 24.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.3% | 43.5% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Roeselare Daisel
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Roeselare Daisel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80