Hoogstratenvs
Merelbeke
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoogstraten · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoogstraten 2-3 Merelbeke
Original prediction
Hoogstraten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 51.8% | 51.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.4% | 24.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 23.8% | 24.0% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Hoogstraten
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Hoogstraten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00