Hoogstratenvs
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoogstraten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoogstraten 4-4 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Original prediction
Hoogstraten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.1% | 38.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.7% | 26.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.1% | 35.1% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hoogstraten
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Hoogstraten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20