GGOALVIO

Belgium · First Amateur Division · 9/2/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Knokke · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hoogstraten are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Knokke are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Knokke hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the First Amateur Division, while Knokke holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Knokke

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Knokke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HoogstratenDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
KnokkeWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
HoogstratenKnokke
43.1Attack52.9
51.0Defence61.8
48.0Form52.9
49.4Power56.3
1.05xG1.46
View match centre →