Hoogstratenvs
Houtvenne
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houtvenne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoogstraten 3-0 Houtvenne
Original prediction
Houtvenne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.7% | 27.7% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.4% | 23.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.9% | 48.9% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Houtvenne
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Houtvenne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80