GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 5/6/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Honka W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Honka W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while PK-35 Helsinki are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka W hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Honka W holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Honka W

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Honka W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Honka WDLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
PK-35 HelsinkiLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Honka WPK-35 Helsinki
33.3Attack36.1
100.0Defence41.7
100.0Form30.6
80.3Power36.7
2.21xG0.90
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