Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Honka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while KäPa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 1 · avg 4.80/0.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80