Honkavs
HJS Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Honka 5-1 HJS Akatemia
Original prediction
Honka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.0% | 82.8% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.09 | 14.8% | 10.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 9.76 | 9.2% | 6.4% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HonkaWDWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HJS AkatemiaLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HonkaHJS Akatemia
96.7Attack53.3
70.0Defence45.0
78.3Form51.7
78.5Power51.3
3.62xG0.86