Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Honka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while EPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (78.2 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
9.0%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60