GGOALVIO

Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · 4/21/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Honka Akatemia are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Ilves II are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves II hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Ilves II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilves II

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Honka AkatemiaLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Ilves IID

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Honka AkatemiaIlves II
59.1Attack93.8
36.4Defence43.8
48.5Form56.3
49.8Power62.0
2.17xG3.42
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