Home Unitedvs
Young Lions
COMPLETEDSingapore · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Home United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Home United 6-1 Young Lions
Original prediction
Home United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 87.0% | 58.3% | -28.7 pts |
| Draw | 10.86 | 8.5% | 20.4% | 11.9 pts |
| Away | 20.25 | 4.5% | 21.3% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Home United
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Home United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00