Home Unitedvs
Công An Nhân Dân
COMPLETEDWorld · ASEAN Club Championship · 10/8/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Home United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Home United 0-1 Công An Nhân Dân
Original prediction
Home United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.9% | 37.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 27.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.5% | 34.9% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Home United
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Home United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80