GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Niederrhein · 8/13/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Homberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Homberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KFC Uerdingen 05 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and KFC Uerdingen 05 hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, while Homberg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Homberg

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Homberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HombergLWWDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KFC Uerdingen 05WDWWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HombergKFC Uerdingen 05
52.5Attack100.0
56.6Defence66.7
52.5Form100.0
54.4Power88.7
1.63xG1.57
View match centre →