Holyhead Hotspurvs
Porthmadog
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Holyhead Hotspur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Porthmadog are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Porthmadog hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 10.9% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.9%
Model confidence
10.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60