Holyhead Hotspurvs
Porthmadog
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porthmadog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holyhead Hotspur 2-2 Porthmadog
Original prediction
Porthmadog
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Porthmadog
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Porthmadog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Holyhead HotspurLLLWD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PorthmadogLWDWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Holyhead HotspurPorthmadog
41.7Attack60.0
41.7Defence53.3
25.0Form66.7
39.1Power62.3
1.49xG1.91